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Title
DETERMINANTS OF EXPORT GROWTH RATE IN ETHIOPIA 1980-2010: CO INTEGRATION AND ERROR CORRECTION MODEL ANALYSIS |
Full text
http://etd.aau.edu.et/dspace/handle/123456789/4472 |
Date
2012 |
Author(s)
KIROS, HAILU |
Contributor(s)
Dr.Wassie Brihanu |
Abstract
Presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts in Economics (Applied Trade Policy Analysis - Determinants of Export of Growth Rate in Ethiopia 1980-2010: Co-cointegration and Error Correction model Analysis Kiros Hailu Addis Ababa University, 2012 The study aimed at identifying the major determinants of export growth rate which have been a matter of argument in Ethiopia and Africa as a whole for a long period of time. The paper empirically examined the export growth rate and its major factors in the Ethiopian context using time series data for the period 1980-2010 collected from ERCA, NBE, UNCTAD, and WEO by employing co integration and error correction model which is previous used by Musinguzi et al (2000) was adopted for this study. Estimation result of the model shows that the relationship between the foreign price level, and terms of trade with the export growth rate are positive and negative which are statistically significant respectively. The gross domestic product also positive and significant but it is not strong. So the foreign price level, Terms of trade and gross domestic product appear to be major determinants, whereas the real exchange rate and FDI have no statistically significant effect on Ethiopia's export growth rate. Therefore to promote the export growth rate understanding and revising of the country's export structure, situations and other policies related to the sector is necessary. |
Subject(s)
export; growth rate; determinants; error correction model. |
Language
en |
Publisher
aau |
Type of publication
Thesis |
Repository
Addis Ababa - University of Addis Ababa
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Added to C-A: 2014-01-28;18:30:25 |
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